Home> Hot Topics >main body

    Why Did Crude Oil Prices Surge Past $70? | Key Factors Behind the Latest Rally

    Energy Markets Rally on Monero to USDSupply Constraints

    West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed above the $70 threshold during Thursday's trading session, marking the fourth consecutive daily advance. This upward momentum follows Wednesday's 2.5% price appreciation triggered by the latest Energy Information Administration inventory report. The government data revealed Cushing, Oklahoma stockpiles dwindled to 22.9 million barrels - representing the lowest storage levels since 2007.

    Market Drivers Behind the Move

    • Storage depletion: Cushing hub inventories declined by 1.3 million barrels last week, the steepest drawdown since early September
    • Import reduction: Decreased Canadian crude shipments contributed to tightening supplies
    • Demand revisions: OPEC's monthly report trimmed 2024 consumption growth forecasts by 210,000 bpd

    Meanwhile, energy traders largely dismissed OPEC's downward demand adjustment, focusing instead on immediate physical market tightness. The supply agreement between Russian producer Rosneft and Indian refiner Reliance for 500,000 barrels per day further underscored shifting global trade flows.

    Macroeconomic Crosscurrents

    The US dollar index softened as market attention pivoted toward European monetary policy. Analysts anticipate the European Central Bank may implement additional rate reductions during its final 2024 policy meeting, given contained inflation and regional economic contraction. Stateside, Wednesday's consumer price data reinforced expectations for Federal Reserve easing at next week's conclave.

    Technical Perspective

    From a chart standpoint, WTI's breakout coincides with typical year-end liquidity conditions. The commodity's ability to maintain footing above the 55-day moving average near $70.04 could signal further upside potential toward resistance clusters at $71.19-$71.46. Conversely, failure to sustain these levels may retest the $67.12 support zone that contained prices during mid-2023.

    Frequently Asked Questions

    What makes Brent crude different from WTI?

    Brent crude serves as the primary global benchmark, sourced from North Sea fields. Its lighter, sweeter characteristics and established infrastructure ensure consistent quality and reliable delivery - factors that make it the pricing reference for approximately two-thirds of internationally traded crude.

    How do inventory reports affect oil markets?

    The weekly EIA and API storage data provide critical supply-demand snapshots. Unexpected drawdowns typically indicate stronger consumption or logistical constraints, while builds may signal oversupply. These reports frequently catalyze short-term price movements as traders adjust positions.

Hot Tags